If student caps at current levels are to be made the dominant driver of student visa processing, the student contribution to net migration would remain well above pre-pandemic levels and well above Treasury forecasts for 2024-25. Students would be a major driver of net migration in 2024-25 which is likely to come in at around 350,000 to 375,000.
That will be completely contrary to Jason Clare’s recent assertion. Treasury is likely to confirm that when it updates its net migration forecast later this year and again ahead of the 2025 Election.
Jason Clare is wrong on net migration and student caps. By Abul Rizvi, Pearls & Irritations